![]() A weakening China is no less dangerous," added the report. Xi may be tempted to strike at the moment of greatest opportunity. This window of opportunity will not be open for long. Yet Xi must fear that this advantage could be temporary as China's population shrinks and its economy slows. "Xi judges China to have greater political will than the US and its allies. ![]() ![]() They suggest that from Xi's perspective, there is only a limited window in which China will be capable of pursuing such a large scale military operation, reported Taiwan News. ![]() It suggests a three-year time frame because, according to the analysis, "a tipping point" will be reached around 2027, after which "Beijing will have military superiority over the US in the Taiwan Strait." The analysts also factor in China's demographic crisis. "Our assessment of the risk of war is based on President Xi Jinping's aggressive stance and rapid military build-up," the Red Alert report read. Democracies rarely predict their next war, and the next war is guaranteed not to be like the last," the report added. Instead, it must put a priority on flexibility to deal with many contingencies. Australia must not prepare itself for a single scenario. ![]() "An attack on Taiwan is the subject of most speculation but not the only scenario which would threaten Australia's security and prosperity. The general view of the analysts is that Australia is not ready to be drawn into a war involving China and Taiwan, but that the country should begin preparing with a sense of urgency.įurther, given the country's alliance with the US, it would be very difficult for Australia to avoid involvement in a war, the report said. The report indicates that a conflict involving Taiwan and China is much more likely than most Australian citizens realize, reported Taiwan News. The independent report, entitled "Red Alert," was authored by five security analysts, namely Alan Finkel, Peter Jennings, Lavina Lee, Mick Ryan and Lesley Seebeck, and published by the Nine Entertainment media group. 'Red Alert', a joint report of Australian newspapers The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age, warned the country to prepare for war with China in the next three years, reported Taiwan News. ![]()
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